
A Novel Method of Finance Market Regulation Based on Control Overshoot
Juan WANG, Panos M. PARDALOS, Yue SHEN
系统科学与信息学报(英文) ›› 2017, Vol. 5 ›› Issue (5) : 385-394.
A Novel Method of Finance Market Regulation Based on Control Overshoot
A Novel Method of Finance Market Regulation Based on Control Overshoot
In the finance market, risk happened in two pattern. In one case, extreme volatility together with a short balance time leads to a great panic to the market. On the contrary, if the volatility is smaller, the time period will usually be longer. It will bring many infections to various related fields, which causes wider range influences to the economy. Both cases hurt financial market and the economy itself deeply. In this paper, we developed a novel market regulation method in which the conflict of fluctuation time and volatility will be balanced. It describes a way to compute a portfolio of relatively short time period together with smaller fluctuation volatility by using a general prediction algorithm based on overshoot in cybernetics. It can also give explanation to counter-cyclical supervision theory and macro-prudential regulation. Furthermore, it can provide numerical operation guide for countercyclical supervision theory and macro-prudential regulation.
In the finance market, risk happened in two pattern. In one case, extreme volatility together with a short balance time leads to a great panic to the market. On the contrary, if the volatility is smaller, the time period will usually be longer. It will bring many infections to various related fields, which causes wider range influences to the economy. Both cases hurt financial market and the economy itself deeply. In this paper, we developed a novel market regulation method in which the conflict of fluctuation time and volatility will be balanced. It describes a way to compute a portfolio of relatively short time period together with smaller fluctuation volatility by using a general prediction algorithm based on overshoot in cybernetics. It can also give explanation to counter-cyclical supervision theory and macro-prudential regulation. Furthermore, it can provide numerical operation guide for countercyclical supervision theory and macro-prudential regulation.
control overshoot / finance regulation / general predication method / soften factor / compensation mechanism {{custom_keyword}} /
control overshoot / finance regulation / general predication method / soften factor / compensation mechanism {{custom_keyword}} /
[1] Alliber R Z, Kindleberger C P. Manias, panics and crashes:A history of financial crises. 6th Edition. John Wiley & Sons Press, New Jersey, 2012.
[2] Minsky H P. Can it happen again? Essays on instability and finance. Routledge Press, New York, 1982.
[3] Galbraith J K. The great crash:1929. Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Press, New York, 1997.
[4] Georges D, Tarek M H. Banks' Capital, Securitization and credit risk:An empirical evidence for Canada. HEC Working Paper, 2003.
[5] Akerlof G, Shiller R, Animal spirits. Princeton University Press, Princeton, 2008.
[6] IMF. Global financial stability report:International monetary fund. Working Paper, 2014.
[7] Dennis H, Pieter K J. Does credit securitization reduce bank risk? Evidence from the European CDO market. SSRN Working Paper, 2007.
[8] Westerhoff F, Franke R. Agent-based models for economic policy design:Two illustrative examples. BERG Working Paper Series, University of Bamberg, 2012.
[9] Paul S C, Michael L. Risk-based capital requirements for mortgage loans. Journal of Banking and Finance, 2004, 28(3):647-672.
[10] Shiller R. Irritational exuberance. 2nd Edition. Princeton University Press, Princeton, 2003.
[11] Tobias C M, Andre U. Securitization and systematic risk in European banking-Empirical evidence. SSRN Working Paper, 2008.
Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (71673214), National Post-doctor Foundation of China (2015M582627), China Scholarship Council (201308615060)
/
〈 |
|
〉 |