A Vague Set Based OWA Method for Talent Evaluation

Peilong WANG, Dandan LI, Wei XU

Journal of Systems Science and Information ›› 2024, Vol. 12 ›› Issue (4) : 543-553.

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Journal of Systems Science and Information ›› 2024, Vol. 12 ›› Issue (4) : 543-553. DOI: 10.21078/JSSI-2023-0158
 

A Vague Set Based OWA Method for Talent Evaluation

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Abstract

In recent years, decision-making under uncertainty has attracted substantial attention in both academia and industry, with a growing number of organizations prioritizing decision support for talent evaluation. Vague set theory has been recognized as a powerful tool to address the ambiguity of problem parameters and manage uncertainty. This paper introduces a novel talent evaluation method that harnesses the potential of vague sets. We construct a vague set Ordered Weighted Averaging (OWA) operator for offering a robust solution to intricate decision-making problems, especially in talent evaluation. The application of the OWA operator augments the decision-making process by providing a mechanism to handle the aggregation of information in a more flexible and comprehensive manner. Experimental results show the effectiveness of the proposed method, presenting an alternative for decision-makers, aiding them in selecting their preferred choices amidst uncertainty.

Key words

uncertain / vague set / talent evaluation / OWA operator

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Peilong WANG , Dandan LI , Wei XU. A Vague Set Based OWA Method for Talent Evaluation. Journal of Systems Science and Information, 2024, 12(4): 543-553 https://doi.org/10.21078/JSSI-2023-0158

1 Introduction

Uncertain and noisy data, prevalent in economic, engineering, environmental, and social systems, pose challenges to conventional mathematical tools. However, they can be addressed using specialized theories and tools, such as fuzzy set theory[1], rough set theory[2], vague set theory[3], intuitionistic fuzzy set theory[4], and interval mathematics[5, 6]. Each of these theories and tools has its unique advantages and inherent limitations[7]. Recently, soft set theory, proposed by Molodtsov has been utilized to model problems characterized by complexity and uncertainty[7]. A soft set is defined as a parameterized family of subsets of a universal set. Soft set theory has shown potential applications in various fields such as smoothness of functions, decision making, measurement theory, and game theory[8].
Since 1999, soft set theory has received considerable attention in both theoretical and practical aspects. The basic concepts and properties of vague set theory have been formalized by Maji, et al.[9], and new properties have been introduced[10, 11]. In 2003, Maji, et al. developed fuzzy soft sets to fuzzy soft sets[9]. Subsequently, specialized models including interval-valued fuzzy soft sets[12], vague soft sets[13], generalized fuzzy soft sets[14, 15], soft sets with description logics[16], interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy soft sets[16], exclusive disjunctive soft sets[17, 18], and bijective soft sets[19] have been developed as extensions to the soft sets. Soft sets have been integrated with related theories such as rough set theory, and algebra[20, 21]. Moreover, soft set theory has been applied to feature selection[22], forecasting[23], clustering analysis[24], and decision-making problems[15-17].
Complex evaluation decision problems in uncertain environments pose significant challenges. Among the generalized set models, vague sets serve as an alternative tool for managing uncertainty, proving particularly useful in imprecise environments characterized by vagueness[28]. This paper introduces a novel method for talent evaluation that harnesses the capabilities of vague sets. We construct an Ordered Weighted Averaging (OWA) operator using vague sets[29]. This approach provides a robust solution to complex decision-making problems, especially in the realm of talent evaluation. The integration of the OWA operator enhances the decision-making process by offering a flexible and comprehensive mechanism for information aggregation.
The organization of this paper is as follows: Section 2 presents the fundamental definitions of vague sets and their properties. Section 3 illustrates an application of the proposed decision-making method in terms of vague sets to a complex decision-making problem. Finally, Section 4 provides conclusions and directions for future work.

2 Preliminaries

2.1 Vague Sets

In this section, the concepts of vague sets and their properties are summarized, whereas the details can be found in [28].
A vague set, denoted over a universe of discourse U, U={u1,u2,,un}, is distinguished by two membership functions: A truth-membership function, denoted as tv, and a false-membership function fv:
tv:U[0,1],fv:U[0,1].
(1)
Here, tv(ui) represents a lower bound on the grade of membership of ui, which is derived from the evidence supporting ui. Similarly, fv(ui) is a lower bound on the negation of ui, derived from the evidence against ui, with the condition that tv(ui)+fv(ui)1. The grade of membership of ui in the vague set is confined to a subinterval [tv(ui),1fv(ui)] of the interval [0,1]. The vague value [tv(ui),1fv(ui)] suggests that the exact grade of membership μv(ui) of ui might be unknown, but it is bounded by tv(ui)μv(ui)1fv(ui), where tv(ui)+fv(ui)1.
When the universe U is continuous, a vague set A can be expressed as
A=uiU[tA(ui),1fA(ui)]/ui,
(2)
where uiU.
When the universe U is discrete, a vague set A can be expressed as
A=i=1n[tA(ui),1fA(ui)]/ui,
(3)
where \(u_i \in U\).
For a vague set, [3] have introduced the following definitions concerning its operations, which will be useful to understand the subsequent discussion.
Definition 1   Let x be a vague value, denoted as x=[tx,1fx], where tx[0,1], fx[0,1], and 0tx1fx1. If tx=1 and fx=0 (i.e., x=[1,1]), then x is called a unit vague value. If tx=0 and fx=1 (i.e., x=[0,0]), then x is called a zero vague value.
Definition 2   Let x and y be two vague values, where x=[tx,1fx] and y=[ty,1fy]. If tx=ty and fx=fy, then vague values x and y are called equal (i.e., [tx,1fx]=[ty,1fy]).
For any two vague sets X and Y of the universe U={u1,u2,,un}, we have
X=[tX(u1),1fX(u1)]/u1+[tX(u2),1fX(u2)]/u2++[tX(un),1fX(un)]/un,Y=[tY(u1),1fY(u1)]/u1+[tYX(u2),1fY(u2)]/u2++[tY(un),1fY(un)]/un.
(4)
Definition 3   Let X be a vague set of the universe U. If uiU, tX(u1)=1 and fA(ui)=0, then X is called a unit vague set, where 1in. If uiU, tX(ui)=0 and fA(ui)=1, then X is called a zero vague set, 1in.
Definition 4   Let X be a vague set, the complement of X is denoted as Xc and defined as
tXc=FX,1fXc=1tX.
(5)
Definition 5   Assume that A and B are two vague sets of the universe U. Then the vague set A and B are equal if it satisfy uiU, [tA(ui),1fA(ui)]=[tB(ui),1fB(ui], where 1in.
Definition 6   Assume that A and B are two vague sets of the universe U. The vague set A are included by B, denoted by AB, if it satisfy uiU, tA(ui)tB(ui) and 1fA(ui)1fB(ui), where 1in.
Definition 7   Assume that A and B are two vague sets of the universe U. C is the union of them, i.e., C=AB, then the truth-membership and false-membership functions of C are defined as
tC=max(tA,tB),1fC=max(1fA,1fB)=1min(fA,fB).
(6)
Definition 8   Assume that A and B are two vague sets of the universe U. C is the intersection of them, i.e., C=AB, then the truth-membership and false-membership functions of C are defined as
tC=min(tA,tB),1fC=min(1fA,1fB)=1max(fA,fB).
(7)

2.2 Ordered Weighted Averaging Operator

Ordered Weighted Averaging, proposed by Yager[30], essentially reorders data in descending order and assigns weights based on the position of the data before aggregating it.
Definition 9   Let (α1,α2,,αn) be the decision vector with a related n-dimensional weight vector ω=(ω1,ω2,,ωn), ωi[0,1],Σiωi=1. Then the OWA operator is fOWA:RnR, and given by
fOWA(α1,α2,,αn)=i=1nωibi
(8)
where bi is the jth value of (α1,α2,,αn) in descending order.
OWA operator is wide used due to it's peculiarity to process data according to the desired attribute value type[31]. The weight vector ω is associated with the OWA function. Administrators can set this according to practical circumstances and experience.

3 Methodology

In this section, we present an application of the proposed decision-making method, which utilizes vague sets to solve a complex evaluation problem. This is achieved with the assistance of multicriteria vague methods[32, 33]. As an alternative to the comparison table proposed by Roy and Maji[27], we develop a comparison score table and a weighted comparison score table to facilitate the decision-making process. The experimental results indicate that our proposed methods offer more valuable information than existing methods (e.g., Roy and Maji[27]), thereby assisting decision-makers in making selections.

3.1 The Talent Evaluation Framework

As illustrated in Figure 1, we propose a comprehensive vague set-based OWA method to address the talent evaluation problem, aiming to assess the potential and performance of individuals across multiple criteria. The framework comprises five parts: Formulation of the decision support problem for talent evaluation, transformation into vague sets, score value calculation, application of the OWA operator for comprehensive attribute value, and talent ranking.
Figure 1 The framework of the proposed method

Full size|PPT slide

3.2 Linguistic Data Preparation

In the evaluation process, experts typically describe the candidate talent using the linguistic terms: 'Positive', 'Negative', and 'Abstention'. As per vague set theory, these linguistic evaluations can be converted into vague evaluations. For instance, for the candidate talent set T={T1,T2,,Tn}, there are q decision experts participating in the evaluation process.
Assume that the proportion of decision experts who consider the alternative Ti as 'Positive', 'Negative', and 'Abstention' are represented by ai, bi, and ci for i=1,2,,n, respectively. The vague evaluation of Ti is then denoted as
Ti=[ti,1fi],
(9)
where ti=ai, and fi=bi for i=1,2,,n. Here, ti represents the degree to which decision experts are satisfied with Ti, and fi represents the degree to which decision experts are not satisfied with Ti. Both ti and fi are in the interval [0,1], and the sum of ti and fi does not exceed 1, for all i such that 1im. Specifically, a crisp value x, where x[0,1], can be represented by a vague value [x,x]. Next, we give an example to illustrate it.
Example 1   Assume that there is a group of decision experts with 10 members participating in the evaluation. If there are 5 participants who evaluate as 'Positive', 3 as 'Negative', and 2 as 'Abstention', then the proportions for the alternative are 0.5, 0.3, and 0.2, respectively. These proportions are denoted by [0.5,10.2].

3.3 The Talent Evaluation Problem

Consider the talent evaluation problem in the university recruitment process. Suppose the talent set is T={T1,T2,,Tn}, where n represents the number of candidates. The evaluation index set is I={I1,I2,,Im}, where m represents the number of evaluation indexes. Each candidate ti is measured according to the evaluation index set, but the attribute weight information is unknown. Assuming that the vague set (t,1f) describes the academic achievement space, the problem is to identify an unknown talent from the vague data in terms of the vague set (t,1f). Thus, the decision scheme satisfies the degree of the evaluation index set I={I1,I2,,In} and can be represented by the decision matrix
R=(βij)m×n,
(10)
where βij=(Ij,[tij,1fij]) represents the degree to which the i-th decision scheme satisfies the j-th evaluation index. As discussed before, the evaluation index of candidate talent Ti are represented by the vague set as
Ti={(I1,[ti1,1fi1]),(I2,[ti2,1fi2]),,(Im,[tim,1fim])}.
(11)
In this context, tij denotes the extent to which the i-th candidate talent, Ti, fulfills the j-th evaluation index, Ij. Conversely, fij signifies the extent to which Ti fails to meet Ij. Both tij and fij are bounded by the interval [0,1], i.e., 0tij,fij1. Furthermore, the sum of tij and fij must not exceed 1, i.e., tij+fij1. This holds true for all i=1,2,,n and j=1,2,,m. The characteristics of these candidate talents are summarized in Table 1.
Table 1 The tabular representation of the vague set
T I1 I2 · · · Im
T1 [t11, 1−f11] [t12, 1−f12] · · · [t1m, 1−f1m]
T2 [t21, 1−f21] [t22, 1−f22] · · · [t2m, 1−f2m]
Tn [tn1, 1−fn1] [tn2, 1−fn2] · · · [tnm, 1−fnm]

3.4 Score Function for the Talent Evaluation Problem

In this subsection, the score function is introduced to solve the complex talent evaluation problem above. Let x=[tx,1fx] be a vague value[3], where tx[0,1], fx[0,1], and tx+fx1. The score of x can be evaluated by the score function S as:
S(x)={0,fx=tx=0,txfx2+txfx2(tx+fx),others.
(12)
As discussed in [34], the score function can get more consistent with people's intuitive judgement of the results of the reflection of the vague set of true-false affiliation of the absolute gap of the scoring function and reflect the relative gap of the scoring function of the two scoring function common characteristics. The table represent of evaluation score is shown in Table 2.
Table 2 The evaluation score value S(x) of all evaluation index set
T I1 I2 T3 · · · Im
T1 s11 s12 s13 · · · s1m
T1 s21 s22 s23 · · · s2m
Tn sn1 sn2 sn3 · · · snm

3.5 OWA Operator for the Talent Evaluation

Considering the inherent complexity and diversity of talent evaluation systems, there is a high demand for sophisticated risk assessment methods. These methods must take into account unknown risks to ensure the maximization of talent selection for schools. This paper proposes a feasible evaluation system for decision-makers, assessing the current research level of talents based on the Ordered Weighted Averaging (OWA) operator. According to Definition, OWA operator is used to aggregate each risk factor Ti (in), thus, get its comprehensive attribute value Yi(ω) :
Yi(ω)=OWAω(βi1,βi2,,βim)=Σj=1m.
(13)
Then, based on the comprehensive attribute values obtained above, we perform a ranking for talent evaluation, determining the academic talent score based on scientific level. With the ranking score T~1>T~2>>T~n where Y1(ω)>Y2(ω)>>Yn(ω). Select the best talent by
T={T~1|YOWA(T2)=max{Yi(ω),i=1,2,,n}}.
(14)

3.6 The Process of the Talent Evaluation

In essence, the proposed method consists of five comprehensive steps, each of which plays a pivotal role in the overall evaluation process. The process is delineated as follows:
Step 1   The process begins with the generation of a decision matrix R=(βij)m×n for the talent evaluation problem. This matrix encapsulates the evaluation scores of n talents across m criteria, thereby providing a structured approach to capture the multi-dimensional nature of talent evaluation.
Step 2   The decision matrix R=(βij)m×n is then transformed into vague sets βij=(Ij,[tij,1fij]). This transformation is integral to the methodology as it enables us to handle uncertainty and vagueness inherent in the evaluation scores, which are common phenomena in real-world talent evaluation scenarios.
Step 3   According to score function S(x) in Subsection 3.4 to measure the points under the criteria.
Step 4   Calculate the comprehensive attribute value Yi(ω) according to OWA operator.
Step 5   Talent estimation and ranking according to Yi(ω), select the best talent Ti from them satisfy max{Yi(ω),i=1,2,,n}.

4 An Illustrate Example

This section takes an example to illustrate the proposed method. Let T={t1,t2,t3,t4,t5,t6} denote the set of candidate talents. This study conducts talent evaluation based on four aspects: Teaching (Te), Scientific research (SR), Moral education (ME), and Social service (SS). The parameter set I encapsulates these four criteria, i.e.,
I={Teaching,Scientific Research,Moral Education,Social Service}.
The detail calculate process are shown as below.
Step 1   In the process of evaluation, three linguistic terms, "Positive'', "Negative'', and "Abstention'' are provided for experts to evaluate the six candidate talents. Then the evaluation index sets are expressed as I={Te,SR,ME,SS}. The number of experts who gave "Positive'', "Negative'', and "Abstention'' evaluations to the candidate talents under the four evaluation criteria is counted.
Step 2   Based on the approach proposed in Section 3, we transforme the linguistic evaluations of experts into vague sets as follows:
T1={(Te,[0.7,0.8]),(SR,[0.8,0.9]),(ME,[0.6,0.8]),(SS,[0.8,0.8])};
T2={(Te,[0.9,0.9]),(SR,[0.8,0.8]),(ME,[0.9,1]),(SS,[0.8,0.9])};
T3={(Te,[0.6,0.7]),(SR,[0.7,0.8]),(ME,[0.5,0.6]),(SS,[0.9,0.9])};
T4={(Te,[0.9,0.9]),(SR,[0.6,0.8]),(ME,[0.7,0.8]),(SS,[0.7,0.8])};
T5={(Te,[0.8,0.9]),(SR,[0.9,0.9]),(ME,[0.7,0.7]),(SS,[0.8,0.9])};
T6={(Te,[0.5,0.6]),(SR,[0.7,0.8]),(ME,[0.7,0.9]),(SS,[0.9,0.9])}.
Step 3   In the context of vague sets evaluation, this step computes the score values for all talents using the score function S(x), as detailed in Subsection 3.4. The results are
T1: S(Te) = 0.475, S(SR) = 0.665, S(ME) = 0.360, S(SS) = 0.600;
T2: S(Te) = 0.800, S(SR) = 0.600, S(ME) = 0.855, S(SS) = 0.665;
T3: S(Te) = 0.475, S(SR) = 0.540, S(ME) = 0.095, S(SS) = 0.800;
T4: S(Te) = 0.800, S(SR) = 0.360, S(ME) = 0.540, S(SS) = 0.540;
T5: S(Te) = 0.665, S(SR) = 0.800, S(ME) = 0.600, S(SS) = 0.665;
T6: S(Te) = 0.360, S(SR) = 0.540, S(ME) = 0.400, S(SS) = 0.800.
Therefore, we can obtain the vague set evaluation decision score matrix as
TeSRMESSS(x)=T1T2T3T4T5T6(0.4750.6650.3600.6000.8000.6000.3600.6000.4750.5400.0950.6650.8000.3600.5400.5400.6650.8000.6000.6650.3600.5400.4000.800).
Step 4   Then we can obtain the sorted score value matrix of each talent
I1I2I3I4S(x)=T1T2T3T4T5T6(0.6650.6000.4750.3600.8550.8000.6650.6000.8000.5400.4750.0950.8000.5400.5400.3600.8000.6650.6650.6000.8000.5400.4000.360).
Step 5   Calculate the comprehensive attribute Yi(ω) using the OWA operator. The weight vector ω=(0.287,0.278,0.230,0.205)T is enacted based on past research and experience. Using Equation (), we can obtain the YOWA(ω) matrix
YOWA(ω)=S^×ωT=(0.6650.6000.4750.3600.8550.8000.6650.6000.8000.5400.4750.0950.8000.5400.5400.3600.8000.6650.6650.6000.8000.5400.4000.360)×(0.2870.2780.2300.205)=(0.6650.287+0.6000.278+0.4750.230+0.3600.2050.8550.287+0.8000.278+0.6650.230+0.6000.2050.8000.287+0.5400.278+0.4750.230+0.0950.2050.8000.287+0.5400.278+0.5400.230+0.3600.2050.8000.287+0.6650.278+0.6650.230+0.6000.2050.8000.287+0.5400.278+0.4000.230+0.3600.205)=(0.54070.74370.50840.57770.69040.5455).
Therefore, we can be assembled value Yi(ω) of the six talent (T1,T2,T3,T4,T5,T6) as respectively: 0.5407, 0.7437, 0.5084, 0.5777, 0.6904, and 0.5455. This process allows us to quantitatively evaluate each talent and provides a basis for comparison and selection. The use of the OWA operator ensures that the evaluation is comprehensive, taking into account all available information about each talent.
Step 6   According to the results of numerical calculation, from big to small order available:
T2T5T4T6T1T3,
and
YOWA(T2)=max{Yi(ω),i=1,2,,6}.
As a result, T2 can be assembled as the best candidate talent.

5 Discussions

In the discussion of the assembled values of the six talents (T1,T2,T3,T4,T5,T6), we have observed that the values are respectively: 0.5407, 0.7437, 0.5084, 0.5777, 0.6904, and 0.5455. This indicates a range of talent values with T2 having the highest value and T3 having the lowest. The numerical calculation results further support this observation by ranking the talents from highest to lowest as follows: T2T5T4T6T1T3. This ranking not only provides a clear hierarchy of the talents based on their assembled values but also highlights T2 as the talent with the maximum value among all. Therefore, based on both the assembled values and the results of numerical calculations, we can conclude that T2 is indeed the best talent among all. This conclusion provides valuable insights for decision-making processes where the selection of the best talent is crucial. However, it's also important to consider other factors such as context-specific requirements and constraints in real-world applications.
Overall, our methodology offers a systematic and rigorous approach to talent evaluation, effectively addressing its inherent challenges such as multi-dimensionality, uncertainty, and vagueness. It can be readily applied across various domains and adapted to meet specific needs.

6 Conclusions and Future Work

In this study, we introduce an innovative approach for talent assessment that utilizes the strengths of vague sets. We develop a vague set based OWA operator to provide a resilient solution to intricate decision-making challenges, specifically in the realm of talent evaluation. The incorporation of the OWA operator amplifies the decision-making procedure by offering a system to manage the consolidation of data in a more adaptable and exhaustive way. The empirical results validate the efficacy of the suggested method. It offers an alternative for decision-makers, assisting them in selecting their preferred choices amidst uncertainty. The proposed method is shown to provide more useful information than current methods in assisting decision makers to select choices. Further research can be done to measure the similarity of vague sets, and to study issues on the relationships among a vague set and other generalized sets. The proposed vague set based model can also be applied to solve other complex decision making problems with uncertainties.

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Funding

the National Natural Science Foundation of China(72271233)
Suzhou Key Laboratory of Artificial Intelligence and Social Governance Technologies(SZS2023007)
Smart Social Governance Technology and Innovative Application Platform(YZCXPT2023101)
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