Year | Data | GM (1, 1) | CFGM (1, 1) | NGBM (1, 1) | CFNGBM (1, 1) | CFNGBM (1, 1, λ) |
2013 | 1096.93 | 1096.9300 | 1096.9300 | 1096.9300 | 1096.9300 | 1096.9300 |
2014 | 1195.81 | 1159.1940 | 1159.1940 | 1164.5985 | 1198.1427 | 1208.9946 |
2015 | 1280.63 | 1268.2728 | 1268.2729 | 1266.9683 | 1244.4876 | 1292.7850 |
2016 | 1335.40 | 1387.6159 | 1387.6159 | 1384.8165 | 1370.1718 | 1418.1893 |
2017 | 1481.61 | 1518.1889 | 1518.1889 | 1516.9931 | 1516.7485 | 1557.4231 |
2018 | 1709.81 | 1661.0488 | 1661.0488 | 1663.9501 | 1674.9166 | 1706.0332 |
2019 | 1863.31 | 1817.3515 | 1817.3515 | 1826.7023 | 1842.5091 | 1863.3100 |
2020 | 2003.42 | 1988.3622 | 1988.3622 | 2006.5796 | 2019.1730 | 2029.4984 |
2021 | 2205.15 | 2175.4648 | 2175.4648 | 2205.1499 | 2205.1500 | 2205.1500 |
MAPE simu (%) | 2.6516 | 2.6516 | 2.4895 | 2.0067 | 2.7178 | |
MAPE pred (%) | 1.5214 | 1.5214 | 0.7075 | 0.6342 | 0.4339 | |
MAPEtotal (%) | 2.2278 | 2.2278 | 1.8213 | 1.4920 | 1.8614 |